Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.249350 15.501883 17.961045 20.837255 24.100685 27.679986 31.894104
2025-03-30 9.956331 13.154757 17.010179 21.959047 28.097830 35.414462 44.741665
2025-04-06 7.407785 10.830404 15.304670 21.489719 29.711230 40.146114 54.254077
2025-04-13 5.530024 8.853119 13.519826 20.396989 30.088084 43.045190 61.421230
2025-04-20 4.801029 8.280067 13.457435 21.484728 33.323609 49.797374 74.022056
2025-04-27 4.307917 7.940250 13.629642 22.848839 36.986142 57.333516 88.173453
2025-05-04 3.720496 7.324727 13.260790 23.298921 39.275202 63.012895 100.022267
2025-05-11 3.146710 6.615632 12.618721 23.199879 40.652033 67.377556 110.166744
2025-05-18 2.627783 5.900184 11.847685 22.764009 41.399328 70.771222 118.994286
2025-05-25 2.205263 5.282112 11.147100 22.338157 42.075706 74.037618 127.754764
2025-06-01 1.853062 4.732760 10.484951 21.881776 42.620369 77.076735 136.276490
2025-06-08 1.485779 4.071203 9.504102 20.710102 41.785936 77.756220 140.987727
2025-06-15 1.346144 3.914676 9.545811 21.552992 44.753080 85.219882 157.677131
2025-06-22 1.224581 3.781003 9.627416 22.508324 48.060352 93.578493 176.536725
2025-06-29 1.010276 3.359968 9.019239 21.991768 48.549973 97.059808 187.338361
2025-07-06 0.796760 2.877603 8.181526 20.870289 47.735509 98.120561 193.966706
2025-07-13 0.742395 2.833369 8.366530 21.978254 51.430623 107.612265 215.988640
2025-07-20 0.706403 2.835689 8.664883 23.368861 55.807000 118.621153 241.295093
2025-07-27 0.630268 2.689984 8.563480 23.827668 58.280679 126.183584 260.719395
2025-08-03 0.541659 2.475311 8.242808 23.726687 59.549959 131.502737 276.271960
2025-08-10 0.454304 2.234849 7.805846 23.282311 60.022477 135.276661 289.104145
2025-08-17 0.380951 2.019329 7.396612 22.848129 60.465472 138.997445 302.000658
2025-08-24 0.318235 1.821068 6.997668 22.382795 60.784417 142.467605 314.566843